Giga-projects fueling real estate boom in Saudi Arabia

Giga-projects, led by the Public Investment Fund, underscore the Kingdom’s commitment to large-scale innovation and ambitious transformation. File
Giga-projects, led by the Public Investment Fund, underscore the Kingdom’s commitment to large-scale innovation and ambitious transformation. File
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Updated 29 December 2024
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Giga-projects fueling real estate boom in Saudi Arabia

Giga-projects fueling real estate boom in Saudi Arabia

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector underwent a major transformation in 2024, driven by the goals of Vision 2030. The market saw significant changes, fueled by unprecedented investments and key policy reforms. As a result, the Kingdom has positioned itself as a global leader in innovation, sustainability, and economic diversification within the real estate industry.

Vision 2030

Since its launch in 2016, Vision 2030 has served as Saudi Arabia’s roadmap for economic diversification, with real estate playing a central role. By 2024, the Kingdom had invested SR4.9 trillion ($1.3 trillion) in infrastructure, significantly boosting residential, commercial, and hospitality capacities. Notable projects aim to introduce over a million residential units, as well as expand retail and office spaces by 7 million sq. meters each.

“Saudi Arabia’s policy reforms and investment under Vision 2030 have transformed the Kingdom’s real estate landscape, making it one of the most dynamic markets in the region,” said Tarek Lotfy, president of Mercer in India, Middle East, and Africa, in an interview with Arab News.

He emphasized that these reforms have accelerated the sector by aligning with broader initiatives to increase homeownership, improve livability, and attract foreign investments. This has been achieved through eased ownership regulations and the creation of Special Economic Zones.

FASTFACTS

By 2024, the Kingdom had invested SR4.9 trillion ($1.3 trillion) in infrastructure, significantly boosting residential, commercial, and hospitality capacities.

A 38 percent increase in real estate transactions during the first half of 2024, valued at SR127.3 billion, highlights the sector’s dynamic growth.

Cities like Riyadh and Jeddah have seen rising property prices, with Riyadh expected to reach a population of 10 million by 2030.

According to Sally Menassa, partner at Arthur D. Little Middle East, these reforms have included “easing foreign ownership restrictions, enhancing transparency in real estate transactions, introducing incentives for green building practices, and establishing a national framework for smart city development.”

The establishment of a real estate transaction registry has been a particularly significant step in boosting market confidence, as it reduces the risks of fraud and increases investor trust.

Menassa further highlighted the role of mega-projects in fostering investor confidence: “The involvement of the PIF in major development projects such as the Diriyah Gate Development reassures investors of the Kingdom’s commitment to high-quality, sustainable development and the stability of such developments.”

Lotfy added that alongside these advancements, the rapid pace of development has also created challenges, including increasing competition for skilled labor in construction and smart city infrastructure.

Recruitment and retention will be key themes in 2025, as companies will need to focus on developing long-term talent strategies, investing in training, and fostering a culture that attracts and retains top-tier talent, according to Lotfy.

Catalysts for transformation

Saudi Arabia’s giga-projects, led by the Public Investment Fund, underscore the Kingdom’s commitment to large-scale innovation and ambitious transformation. High-profile projects like NEOM, Qiddiya, and the Red Sea Global are set to redefine urban living, culture, and tourism.

NEOM alone spans 28,000 sq. km and is envisioned as a smart city powered by renewable energy and cutting-edge technology. Menassa emphasized the uniqueness of NEOM, pointing to initiatives like Oxagon, a floating industrial complex designed for sustainability and advanced technologies. “This is expected to attract high-tech industries and global talent, driving demand for residential and commercial properties,” she said.

Meanwhile, Qiddiya is being developed as a world-class entertainment hub, featuring theme parks, cultural centers, and sports complexes. Menassa added that Qiddiya’s growth as a major cultural and entertainment destination would further boost tourism and the hospitality sector, creating demand for mixed-use assets that combine retail, leisure, and residential components.

The Red Sea Project is another transformative initiative focused on sustainable tourism. According to Menassa: “Focusing on eco-friendly concepts and incorporating sustainable practices in its development, starting from construction, it (The Red Sea Project) will set new standards for regenerative and sustainable tourism and real estate development.”

Residential market

Saudi Arabia’s residential sector saw substantial growth in 2024, driven by government-backed initiatives and strong demand. Programs like Sakani and the National Housing Program have been essential in advancing the Vision 2030 goal of achieving 70 percent homeownership.

Menassa underscored the significance of these efforts: “The addition of over a million homes as part of Saudi Arabia’s residential expansion efforts, aligning with the goal of achieving a 70 percent homeownership rate under Vision 2030, is expected to significantly impact homeownership rates and affordability, creating a big socio-economic shift in the nation.”

A 38 percent increase in real estate transactions during the first half of 2024, valued at SR127.3 billion, highlights the sector’s dynamic growth. Cities like Riyadh and Jeddah have seen rising property prices, with Riyadh expected to reach a population of 10 million by 2030.

Hospitality and tourism

Tourism, a cornerstone of Vision 2030, has already surpassed expectations. The Kingdom achieved its target of 100 million visitors in 2023 and now aims to attract 150 million tourists annually by 2030.

“The 2034 FIFA World Cup will play an instrumental role in shaping the future of the short-term rental market in Saudi Arabia over the next 10 years,” said Anna Skigin, CEO of Frank Porter, in an interview with Arab News. “We will see a significant increase in the number of properties being developed as savvy investors look to capitalize on the announcement. We will also see more people buying properties and converting these into short-term rentals,” she added.

Short-term rentals are reshaping the tourism landscape, creating new opportunities for various types of travelers. Skigin noted: “There is the opportunity for larger groups to travel — potentially multi-generational family travel and other large groups of family and friends.”

She further explained, “Short-term rentals can cater to a variety of different budgets while offering more space than hotel rooms. These rentals also provide more privacy for travelers.”

Menassa also highlighted the Kingdom’s focus on luxury resorts, boutique hotels, and eco-friendly accommodations as part of its broader tourism strategy. Developments like Jeddah Al-Balad, Diriyah, and Qiddiya are generating demand for integrated, mixed-use assets, boosting both tourism infrastructure and the overall quality of life, she explained.

Proptech boom

Saudi Arabia’s digital transformation has positioned proptech as a key component in the evolution of its real estate sector. Innovations such as digital mortgages, AI-driven property recommendations, and virtual tours are revolutionizing the home-buying experience.

“Digital mortgages will allow streamlined processes, expediting the buying process by automating many of the steps involved, enhancing accessibility, and increasing transparency. Buyers can now compare rates, get pre-approved for loans from their homes, and explore homeownership opportunities with greater ease,” said Menassa.

She also highlighted the integration of smart city infrastructure like NEOM’s, which incorporates advanced technologies to enhance urban living.

“This also extends to urban planning and management, including advanced surveillance systems, smart street lighting, emergency response, traffic forecasting, and energy consumption management,” Menassa added.

Outlook

Despite its rapid growth, the Saudi real estate sector faces challenges such as economic volatility and rising project costs. Lotfy warned that as the Kingdom moves towards smart cities and sustainable development, the demand for advanced technical skills will increase.

However, the opportunities outweigh these challenges. Skigin concluded: “The Kingdom has been significantly pushing tourism for both international and domestic tourists,” and these efforts will continue to shape the future of Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector in the coming years.


Kingdom approves 2025 annual borrowing plan with $37bn funding target

Kingdom approves 2025 annual borrowing plan with $37bn funding target
Updated 6 min 43 sec ago
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Kingdom approves 2025 annual borrowing plan with $37bn funding target

Kingdom approves 2025 annual borrowing plan with $37bn funding target
  • Strategic road map to manage country’s funding needs

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan on Sunday approved the annual borrowing plan for 2025, outlining a strategic road map for managing the Kingdom’s funding needs.

The plan, which has been endorsed by the National Debt Management Center’s board of directors, detailed developments in public debt in 2024, initiatives to strengthen local debt markets, and the 2025 funding framework, including a calendar for Saudi riyal-denominated sukuk issuances.

 

 

The projected funding requirement for 2025 is estimated at SR139 billion ($37 billion), according to a statement issued on Sunday.

The total encompasses two primary components: covering a fiscal deficit of SR101 billion, as highlighted in the Ministry of Finance’s official budget statement, and meeting the SR38 billion in principal repayments for debts maturing during the year.

 

 

To achieve its funding objectives, Saudi Arabia plans to enhance its access to both local and international financing channels and pursue innovative financing opportunities to stimulate economic growth, the statement added.

Moves will include private transactions such as export credit agency-backed initiatives, financing for infrastructure development, and capital expenditure projects.

The Kingdom will also explore opportunities to access new markets and issue debt in diverse currencies, depending on market conditions.


Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 12,069

Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 12,069
Updated 05 January 2025
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Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 12,069

Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 12,069

 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index fell on Sunday, shedding 32.73 points, or 0.27 percent, to close at 12,069.82.

The total trading turnover for the benchmark index amounted to SR4.21 billion ($1.12 billion), with 119 stocks advancing and 106 retreating.

The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu registered a gain of 48.69 points, or 0.16 percent, closing at 31,054.38. Out of the stocks listed on Nomu, 38 advanced while 41 declined. The MSCI Tadawul Index also declined, dropping 7.32 points, or 0.48 percent, to close at 1,509.84.

Among the top performers of the day was Saudi Reinsurance Co., whose stock surged 9.94 percent to SR59.70. 

Salama Cooperative Insurance Co. also posted a strong performance, with its share price rising 8.44 percent to SR21.06, while Riyadh Cables Group Co. saw its stock climb 6.34 percent to SR151.00. 

However, National Medical Care Co. recorded the day’s steepest decline, falling 3.49 percent to SR160.40. Emaar The Economic City and the Power and Water Utility Co. for Jubail and Yanbu also experienced losses, with their share prices dropping 3.06 percent to SR18.38 and 2.93 percent to SR53.00, respectively.

In corporate news, Al-Yamamah Steel Industries Co. announced the signing of a SR97.5 million contract with the Saudi-based Trading & Development Partnership. The agreement involves the supply of steel towers for constructing a 380-kilovolt ultra-high voltage transmission line in the Eastern Region. 

The contract, which will commence in May 2025, is expected to reflect on the company’s financial results starting from the third quarter of 2025. 

Shares of Al-Yamamah Steel ended the session 6.25 percent higher at SR36.40.

The Saudi Industrial Development Co. disclosed that its subsidiary, Global Co. for Marketing Sleeping Systems, also known as Sleep High, has secured a Shariah-compliant SR9 million credit facility from Riyadh Bank. 

The financing, guaranteed under the Kafalah Program, will be utilized to support the subsidiary’s working capital needs. SIDC shares closed 0.67 percent higher at SR30.00.

Saudi Arabian Amiantit Co. signed a memorandum of understanding with the Libyan Development & Reconstruction Fund to collaborate on water technology transfer, sewage treatment, and pipe production. 

The one-year agreement aims to localize industries in Libya, create employment opportunities, and transfer manufacturing expertise. It also includes plans to establish joint factories specializing in fiberglass and polyethylene pipes, as well as valves, to support Libyan national projects. 

Shares of Amiantit rose 1.90 percent to close at SR29.40.

United International Holding Co. announced the extension of its memorandum of understanding with Nowpay Corp. for an additional two months. The partnership aims to establish a payroll administration and processing firm in Saudi Arabia. 

The venture, which will require an initial investment of SR75 million, will be 75 percent owned by United International Holding and 25 percent by Nowpay Corp. 

The company’s stock closed 0.75 percent higher at SR187.40.

National Gypsum Co. revealed that it has signed an Islamic financing agreement with Riyadh Bank valued at SR35 million. The funds will be directed toward expanding operations and upgrading production lines. The financing will last for one and a half years and is backed by promissory notes and a property mortgage. 

The company’s share price remained unchanged at SR22.16.


Saudi listed firms see growth in 2024 with ACWA Power and Al Rajhi as top performers

Saudi listed firms see growth in 2024 with ACWA Power and Al Rajhi as top performers
Updated 05 January 2025
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Saudi listed firms see growth in 2024 with ACWA Power and Al Rajhi as top performers

Saudi listed firms see growth in 2024 with ACWA Power and Al Rajhi as top performers

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s listed companies witnessed significant growth in 2024, with ACWA Power and Al Rajhi Bank emerging as the top performers on the Tadawul All Share Index.

ACWA Power Co. led the index, contributing 295 points, followed by Al Rajhi Bank with a 207-point increase, according to data from SNB Capital cited by Al-Ekhbariya.

ACWA Power’s stock surged from SR255.89 at the start of 2024 to SR401.4 by year-end, reflecting big growth. Similarly, Al Rajhi Bank’s stock rose from SR86.8 to SR94.6 during the same period. Other notable contributors included Saudi Research and Media Group, adding 44 points to the index, Elm Co. with 43 points, and Ma’aden with 40 points.

However, not all listed companies experienced gains in 2024. Saudi Aramco recorded a significant decline, losing 177 points on the index as its stock price dropped from SR140 to SR111.8. SNB Capital fell by 70 points, followed by SABIC with a 62-point decrease, Banque Saudi Fransi with 32 points, and Sahara International Petrochemical Co., or Sipchem, with 30 points.

The Kingdom’s initial public offering market also saw robust activity in 2024, with 14 IPOs raising SR14.21 billion ($3.7 billion), marking a 19 percent year-on-year increase.

Almoosa Health and Fakeeh Care Group led the IPO market in terms of size, with Fakeeh attracting the highest individual participation, drawing 1.34 million unique investors.

Despite overall success, individual subscriptions accounted for only 13 percent of the total IPO volume, amounting to SR1.94 billion.

Modern Mills Co. led in subscription coverage, achieving a rate of 21.9 times, while the average individual coverage for the year’s IPOs stood at 11.87 times.

The food production sector dominated IPO activity, contributing 26.9 percent of total listings in 2024, with successful debuts by companies such as Modern Mills, Al-Rabie, and Al Arabiya.

IPO valuations varied significantly, with an average price-to-earnings ratio of 34 times. United International Holding recorded the lowest P/E, while Nice One topped the charts with a P/E of 118 times, making it the year’s most expensive IPO.

Looking ahead, SNB Capital forecasts an 8 percent annual profit growth for companies listed on the Tadawul in 2025, with the petrochemical sector expected to lead the way with a 74 percent rise in profits.


Saudi Arabia records robust GFCF growth in Q3 2024, fueled by non-government sector investments

Saudi Arabia records robust GFCF growth in Q3 2024, fueled by non-government sector investments
Updated 05 January 2025
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Saudi Arabia records robust GFCF growth in Q3 2024, fueled by non-government sector investments

Saudi Arabia records robust GFCF growth in Q3 2024, fueled by non-government sector investments
  • Non-oil sectors grew by 4.3 percent year-on-year
  • Unemployment rate dropped to 3.7 percent

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia solidified its status as a regional investment leader with a 7.4 percent year-on-year growth in gross fixed capital formation in the third quarter of 2024, led by the non-government sector.

The Ministry of Investment reported an 8.3 percent increase in the non-government division, reflecting the Kingdom’s ongoing efforts to boost private sector participation in its diversifying economy.

Government-related entities contributed to the overall GFCF growth, with a 2.3 percent increase in the third quarter of 2024.

The non-government sector’s performance aligns with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 objectives, which aim to shift the economy from oil dependency by fostering a vibrant private division. 

In line with these goals, the Ministry of Investment issued 3,810 investment licenses in Q3 2024, marking a significant 73.7 percent year-on-year increase.

Non-oil sectors grew by 4.3 percent year-on-year during the same period, further supporting the Kingdom’s economic diversification efforts.

Key sectors saw notable growth, including wholesale and retail trade, restaurants, and hotels rose 5.8 percent, and construction increased 4.6 percent. Transport and communication grew by 4.5 percent, and finance and real estate advanced by 4.2 percent, driven by consumer spending and a dynamic financial sector.

These expansions contributed to the Kingdom’s overall real gross domestic product growth of 2.8 percent year-on-year for the quarter, despite a marginal 0.05 percent increase in oil activities.

The real estate sector also played a pivotal role in the third quarter of 2024, with the Real Estate Price Index rising by 2.6 percent y-o-y. While residential property costs increased by 1.6 percent, commercial properties saw a more pronounced growth of 6.4 percent. However, agricultural real estate prices declined by 8.7 percent, reflecting sectoral disparities. 

Complementing these trends, real estate loans by banks witnessed a 13.3 percent year-on-year increase, showcasing heightened investor interest in property development and acquisitions. 

Saudi Arabia’s economic resilience is further evident in labor market improvements. The unemployment rate dropped to 3.7 percent in this period, a 0.5 percentage point decrease from the same quarter in 2023. The Saudi unemployment rate fell to 7.8 percent, a one percentage point decline year-on-year.


Global growth expected to reach 3.2% amid monetary easing: report

Global growth expected to reach 3.2% amid monetary easing: report
Updated 05 January 2025
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Global growth expected to reach 3.2% amid monetary easing: report

Global growth expected to reach 3.2% amid monetary easing: report
  • QNB forecasts US Federal Reserve to cut rates by 75 bps and the European Central Bank by 150 bps
  • It predicts growth of 2.2% in 2025, down from 2.6% in 2024

RIYADH: Global economic growth is set to accelerate in 2025 as monetary easing, US resilience, and recoveries in Europe and China drive momentum, with Southeast Asian economies benefiting from positive spillovers.

The Qatar National Bank projects a 3.2 percent global growth rate, outpacing Bloomberg’s consensus of 3.1 percent, the state’s news agency QNA reported.

In its latest commentary, QNB anticipates growth in major economies, driven by controlled inflation, eased financial constraints, and policy adjustments by central banks. Emerging markets, specifically the Association of Southeast Asian Nations economies, are set to benefit from these advancements.

The report said that analysts have consistently underestimated global economic performance, as initial projections for 2023 and 2024 fell short of realized growth by 80 and 40 basis points, respectively.

“Analysts and economists have been proving to be over pessimistic when it comes to forecasting major economies and global growth in recent years,” reported QNA.

The national bank added: “In fact, over the last two years, initial expectations for growth were 80 basis points and 40 bps below realized growth in 2023 and 2024, respectively.”

It forecasts the US Federal Reserve to cut rates by 75 bps and the European Central Bank by 150 bps.

“This should support further investment and consumption growth, as credit becomes cheaper, new investment opportunities become more attractive, and the opportunity costs of spending decrease,” it added.

In the US, QNB predicts growth of 2.2 percent in 2025, down from 2.6 percent in 2024 but still above the long-term average of 2.3 percent.

“The US economy is expected to remain on a strong footing as labor markets are resilient, productivity is growing rapidly with fast technology adoption, and households have robust balance sheets with the strongest financial position in decades,” QNB said.

Europe and China are expected to recover from extended periods of stagnation. Growth in the European area is forecast to rise from 0.7 percent in 2024 to 1.0 percent in 2025, supported by lower energy prices and a rebound in global manufacturing demand.

China’s growth is projected to increase from 4.8 percent to 5.0 percent, driven by policy easing and renewed economic momentum.

Emerging Asian nations, particularly ASEAN economies, are set to benefit significantly. “Stronger growth in China is likely to be a significant tailwind to emerging Asia in general and ASEAN economies in particular,” QNB said.

The region’s five largest markets, including Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand, are forecasted to grow by 5.2 percent in 2025, up from 4.4 percent in 2024.

“All in all, we expect to see a moderate acceleration of global growth in 2025, with significant monetary easing, a resilient US economy, a cyclical recovery in Europe and China, and positive spillovers to ASEAN economies,” QNB said.